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Complete LSAT Logic Game Tutorial and Explanation:

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Time Management and Guessing Strategy Help Area
The Answer Choices and Answer Transferring Theories
LSAT Guessing Strategy and Probability Tables
The Importance of Using a Timer

Guessing Strategy and Probability Tables

Do not guess randomly!

Because the LSAT does not assess a scoring penalty for incorrect answer choices, you should always guess on every question that you cannot complete during the allotted time. However, because some answer choices are historically more likely to occur than others, you should not guess randomly. The following tables summarize which answer choices have occurred most frequently over the years.

LSAT Answer Choice Probabilities
A#
A%
B#
B%
C#
C%
D#
D%
E#
E%
Total #
LR
608 18.6% 673 20.5% 668 20.4% 708 21.6% 619 18.9% 3276
RC
345 19.7% 348 19.9% 351 20.1% 381 21.8% 324 18.5% 1749
LG
293 19.3% 312 20.5% 302 19.8% 306 20.1% 309 20.3% 1522
Total
1246 19.0% 1333 20.4% 1321 20.2% 1395 21.3% 1252 19.1% 6547
All Answer Choices June 1991 - June 2010*

The table above documents the frequency with which each answer choice appeared as a percentage of all LSAT answer choices between June 1991 and June 2010 inclusive. If history holds, you would be best served on the test as a whole by always guessing answer choice (D). Do not choose random answer choices; do not put in a pattern such as A-B-C-D-E etcetera. Although guessing answer choice (D) does not guarantee you will get the questions correct, statistically speaking guessing answer choice (D) gives you a better chance of answering correctly than guessing randomly.

Last Five Answer Choices Per Section June 1991 - June 2010*
A#
A%
B#
B%
C#
C%
D#
D%
E#
E%
Total#
LR
98 15.1% 127 19.5% 129 19.8% 145 22.3% 151 23.2% 650
RC
58 17.8% 70 21.5% 61 18.8% 74 22.8% 62 19.1% 325
LG
72 22.2% 67 20.6% 57 17.5% 66 20.3% 63 19.4% 325
Total
228 17.5% 264 20.3% 247 19.0% 285 21.9% 276 21.2% 1300
“*These statistics do not include the unreleased February 1998 and February 2001-2011 LSAT administrations.

As the second table indicates, if you cannot finish the final questions in a section, in the Logical Reasoning section you should always guess answer choice (E). In the Reading Comprehension section you should always guess answer choice (D), and in the Logic Games section you should guess (A).

Please keep in mind that the strategies discussed above hold only for pure guessing. If you are attempting to choose between two answer choices, do not choose solely on the basis of statistics alone!

On a related note, if you are a strong test taker who correctly answers most questions but occasionally does not finish a section, quickly review the answer choices you have previously selected and use the answer that appears least as your guessing answer choice. For example, if you have completed twenty questions in a section, and your answer sheet contains a majority of (A)’s, (B)’s, (C)’s, and (E)’s, guess answer choice (D) for all of the remaining questions to get the percentage of each response as close to 20% as possible.

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